• 10.31.14

    Who Is Heading To The Polls?

    I am often asked why the likely voter polling data, especially in New York State, has been consistently off target on the margin of victory over the last decade and a half. My response is always the same: The polling data itself is not usually the problem, it is the likely voter screens that are ...

  • 10.17.14

    Governor Races Are Key to 2016 Election

    In terms of governing, the battle for partisan control of the United States Senate is the most important political contest on this year's ballot. But for those trying to read the tea leaves for early signs of advantage heading into the 2016 presidential contest, the governors' races will be the ...

  • 10.01.14

    A Clash for Control of the Senate

    The battle for control of the State Senate is fully underway.Normally, three to five Senate seats are swing seats in an election cycle in New York -- meaning they can be won by Democrats or Republicans. This year, however, eight to nine seats fit that description: three and perhaps four on Long ...

  • 09.16.14

    Six Lessons From Last Week's Primary

    Now that the dust is settling on the pundits' snap takeaways from last week's gubernatorial primary, let's focus on what I like to call the "carry forwards". I see six factors emerging from the primary that will impact November's election and the next governor's term.

  • 09.04.14

    Put Bank Penalties To Work For New York

    It's rare that the imperatives of good policy so easily meld with political viability. But the stars are beginning to align on a statewide infrastructure plan.We learned in July that New York State would get $3.3 billion from the sanctions imposed on the French bank BNP Paribas. By late last month, ...

  • 08.11.14

    Finding Common Ground On Crime

    This summer New York City is getting locked into a political cold war over crime fighting strategies. This political conflict has emerged in the wake of the tragic death of Eric Garner and statistics showing a marked uptick in shootings.

  • 07.13.14

    Ranking The Filings

    Tomorrow when the gubernatorial campaigns release their fundraising reports here is how the political handicappers will likely be analyzing those numbers.

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